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Investment Advisory with Derivatives strategy ----EUR/USD Good news An agreement on a second international bailout for Greece reduced investor concern the region’s debt crisis will worsen. Over the weekend we saw the G20 meet and release a statement that was largely expected giving commitments to increase IMF funding in the future and support the Eurozone. The Greek and the private sector can trade debt swap The EUR/USD continued to push higher after breaking out on Thursday last week above 1.3300. German has begun to consider expansion firewall, and make relevant decisions prior IMF Washington conference in April. Looking ahead, January M3 Money Growth forecast at 1.8% vs. 1.6% previously. Also ahead January Home Sales forecast at 1% vs. -3.5% previously. a report showed German business confidence rose to the highest level in seven months, easing crisis concern. Munich-based Ifo institute said its business climate index climbed to 109.6 from 108.3 in January, the highest reading since July. Something uncertain and bad news Market fears that the euro zone may exist obstacles in carrying out the second international bailout for Greece: Whether the Greek parliament would approve the terms of the plan. What is the ratio of voluntary private creditors trading bond swaps. After Greece election on April, whether the new government would accept the plan. The economy mend need to be further proved by European economic data. Whether the European Central Banks long-term refinancing operations will exceed the expectation. Standard Poors cut Greeces long-term credit rating to selective default from double-C. Interactive Currency Chart for EUR-USD Exchange Rate (Daily Candlestick Chart) Today Interactive Currency Chart for EUR-USD Exchange Rate (Weekly Candlestick Chart) Today Prediction Although the upward trend will continue, if there is no bad outcome, buying power probably reduce with significant risk events approach. Overall, the exchange price will fluctuate betw
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