江苏省人力资本对经济增长的贡献实证研究.pdf

摘 要 现代经济和文明的发展已经进入到了以人力资本为依托的发展时期,当前 各国的经济竞争,实质上已经变成了人力资本的竞争。人力资本对经济增长的 强大拉动力在发达国家的经济发展中已被多次验证。改革开放以来,江苏经济 一直保持快速增长,江苏经济之所以能取得今天经济发展上的巨大成就,是多 种因素综合作用共同贡献的结果。这其中有改革开放、制度变迁的因素;有物 质资本投资快速增长的拉动;也有人口增长和源源不断流入的外来劳动力带来 的劳动力数量增长的贡献。但我们在肯定制度因素、物质资本投资增长因素和 劳动力数量增长因素对经济增长贡献的同时不能忽略江苏经济增长背后人力资 本因素的巨大贡献。现代人力资本理论认为人力资本特别是形成人力资本的教 育,是现代经济增长的主要动力和源泉。西方经济学家己经从理论上和实证上 证明人力资本是西方发达国家和新兴工业国家经济增长的内生因素、人力资本 投资和人力资本积累是经济保持持续增长的重要基础。江苏省是我国经济发展 水平和人力资本水平都比较高的省份,江苏省人力资本投资与经济增长的关系 如何?对这个问题的研究不仅对江苏省经济增长有重要的意义,而且对全国及其 他省份也有重要的借鉴意义。因此,本文通过建立生产函数回归模型对江苏省 人力资本对经济增长的贡献进行实证分析,尝试对 90年代以来人力资本对江苏 经济增长的贡献率进行测算,对人力资本在江苏经济增长中的作用进行计量分 析并得出相应的结论,然后通过对模型结果的检验、分析,提出相应的政策和 建议。 关键词:人力资本;经济增长;实证研究 1Abstract The modern economy and the civilized development has already entered the period that based on human capital, the current countries economic competition in the essence already turned to the human capital competition. The formidable pulls of human capital grows to the economy has been confirmed many times in the developed country economical development. There are a lot of factors contributed the achievement of Jiangsu economy: Reform and open policy the change of institutions; the investment of capital; the increasing number of labor all these factors Played important roles in the development of Jiangsu economy. But we can’t neglect the huge contribution of the human capital. The modern human capital theory believes that human capital is the main power to impulse the economic growthWestern economists have proved that the investment of human capital is the foundation of the growth of economy. The economic level and human capital level of Jiangsu province is higher than most Provinces of china. Study of the Problem about the relationship between human capital investment and economic growth is meaningful to Jiangsu’s economic growth, and will be meaningful to other ProvincesThis dissertation attempts to establish the yield function model of Jiangsu human capital and the economic growth, then analyze