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January 2012 Market Update: Deeply into the Danger Zone
January 2012
Since the last Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), risks to stability have increased, despite various
policy steps to contain the euro area debt crisis and banking problems. European policymakers have
outlined significant policy measures to address the medium-term issues contributing to the crisis, and
some of these have helped to improve market sentiment, but sovereign financing remains challenging
and downside risks remain. If funding challenges result in a round of deleveraging by banks, this could
ignite an adverse feedback loop to euro area economies. The United States and other advanced
economies are susceptible to spillovers from a potential intensification of the euro area crisis, and some
have homegrown challenges to the removal of financial tail risks, including overcoming political
obstacles to achieving an appropriate pace of fiscal consolidation. Developments in the euro area also
threaten emerging Europe and may spill over to other emerging markets. Further policy actions are
needed to restore market confidence. This effort will require building larger backstops for sovereign
financing, assuring adequate bank funding and capital, and maintaining a sufficient flow of credit to the
economy, possibly by establishing a “gatekeeper” charged with preventing disorderly bank
deleveraging.
Securities Markets Program (SMP). As the crisis
The euro area debt crisis has intensified
intensified, it spilled from the periphery into the
further, requiring urgent action to core with yields rising and spreads widening,
prevent highly destabilizing outcomes. including on the sovereign debt of Austria and
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