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《《Gold investment in 2016》.pdf
Gold
Price Forecast 2012
Predictions and Estimates from Multiple Analysts
While the price of Gold has a gamut of forecast ranges for 2012, most experts
are bullish on the yellow metal for the year. A compilation of the predictions and
estimates are listed below.
Goldman Sachs
As of December 2011, Goldman Sachs predicted Gold to peak at $1,900 per ounce
while averaging $1,810 in 2012.
The reasons given for the estimate are as follows:
1 US real interest rates will continue to remain low in 2012.
2 Continued monetary demand for physical gold from central banks and institutional
investors on continued concerns over paper currencies.
3 Muted risk appetite due to events in Europe and a general sluggish recovery will keep
gold’s demand as a lower-risk asset class.
Barclays Capital
In January 2012, Barclays released its 2012 price forecast for gold, with expectations
that the yellow metal would reach highs of $2,200 while averaging $1,875.
Barclays’ prediction was based on the following ongoing trends:
1 Central bank buying continues and with new interest emerging.
2 Uncertainty continues to surround the financial markets and sovereign debt.
3 Growth in investment demand is occurring despite price corrections.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
In December 2011, Bank of America Merrill Lynch predicted that gold would average
between $2,150 and $2,200 for 2012.
The company’s chief technical strategist MacNeil Curry stated that, “From a technical
standpoint perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold
having not yet met any of the conditions necessary for a top, we look for significant
strength in the years ahead, ultimately targeting a top between $3,000 and $5,000 an
ounce [in 2013-2014]. For 2012 gold will target $2,150-$2,200.”
UBS Gold Analysis
Also in December, UBS issued its 2012 price forecast for the yellow
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