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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO
WORKING PAPER SERIES
International Channels of the Fed’s Unconventional
Monetary Policy
Michael D. Bauer
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Christopher J. Neely
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
December 2013
Working Paper 2012-12
/publications/economics/papers/2012/wp12-12bk.pdf
The views in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be
interpreted as reflecting the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, the
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System.
International Channels of the Fed’s Unconventional
Monetary Policy∗
† ‡
Michael D. Bauer, Christopher J. Neely
December 12, 2013
Abstract
Previous research has established that the Federal Reserve’s large scale asset purchases
(LSAPs) significantly influenced international bond yields. We use dynamic term struc-
ture models to uncover to what extent signaling and portfolio balance channels caused
these declines. For the U.S. and Canada, the evidence supports the view that LSAPs
had substantial signaling effects. For Australian and German yields, signaling effects
were present but likely more moderate, and portfolio balance effects appear to have
played a relatively larger role than in the U.S. and Canada. Portfolio balance effects
were small for Japanese yields and signalin
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