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Journal of Health Economics 5 (1986) 129-151.North-Holland
PROVIDER BEHAVIOR UNDER PROSPECTIVE REIMBURSEMENT
Cost Sharing and Supply
Randall P. ELLIS and Thomas G. McGUIRE*
Boston University,Boston, MA 02215, USA
-- .
Received April 1985,final version received March 1986
This paper develops a model in which physicians choose the level of services to be provided to
their patients. We show that if physicians undervalue benelits to patients relative to hospital
profits, prospective payment, a system in which hospitals receive a payment dependent on the
diagnosis-related group within which a patient falls, can lead to too few services being provided.
In contrast, a ‘cost-based’ reimbursement system is shown to result in too many services being
provided. Competition between hospitals for physicians will tend to augment both of these
problems. We also examine a mixed reimbursement system, in which hosp%l reimbursements
are paid partly prospectively and partly cost-based. This system is shown under a variety of
circumstances to be superior to the other two reimbursement systems by improving the
incentives for the efficient level of services, reducing incentives to unnecessarily admit or
reclassify patients, and reducing risk to providers.
I. Introduction
The Health Care Financing Administration’s (HCFA) Medicare program,
the largest single buyer of health care in the United States, began paying
hospitals prospectively for inpatient care starting in 1983. After th
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