京津冀协同发展指数研究(河北大学学报).docx

京津冀协同发展指数测度及对策研究The Research on Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Collaborative Development Indicators System Calculation and Countermeasures 祝尔娟 何皛彦 （首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院，北京100070）ZHU Er-juan，HE Xiao-yan （College of Urban Economics and Public Administration，Capital University of Economics and Business，Beijing 100070，China）【内容摘要】本文按照创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享五大发展理念，构建了由发展指数、协同指数、生态文明指数、人口发展指数、企业发展指数等五大指数构成的指标体系，并试运用这一指标体系对京津冀协同发展状况进行测度和分析，得出一些基本判断，如从发展指数看，北京核心地位稳固，三地发展水平落差有缩小趋势，京津冀三地新旧驱动力处于“换挡期”；从协同指数看，北京外溢效应显著，三地互投活跃并向产业轴发展带集聚，产业协同和转型升级步伐加快；等等。在此基础上，本文提出相应的对策建议。【关键词】京津冀 协同发展 指数Abstract: According to the Five Development Concepts as innovation, coordination, green, open and sharing, there were five indicators system: Development indicators, Collaborative indicators, Ecological civilization indicators, Population development indicators and Enterprises development indicators have been established. Based on the analysis of calculation outcomes, we have drawn some conclusions and the situation judgment of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei collaborative development. According to the Development indicators system, Beijing holds a stable position in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The gap between three provinces has been shrunk. Development mode shifts from tradition-driven to innovation-driven. According to the collaborative indicators, the spillover effect of Beijing is remarkable and the mutual investment between Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei promotes to the upgrading of an industrial structure. Based on the above analysis, we put forward three countermeasures. Key words: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei collaborative development indicators 2015年4月30日，《京津冀协同发展规划纲要》由中央政治局审议通过，标志着京津冀协同发展顶层设计已经完成，协同发展进入全面推进、重点突破的重要阶段。政府的工作重点已转向通过政策调控来引导和落实规划。为了给政府监测区域协同发展进程、及时发现问题、实施有效调控提供决策依据，有必要研究京津冀协同发展指数、构建京津冀协同发展监测指标体系。京津冀协同发展指数是“风向标”，显示京津冀协同发展的总体态势与变动方向；是“温度计”，度量京津冀协同发展的水平变化与实现程度；是“晴雨表”，揭示影响京津冀协同发展的重要因素与关键环节；是“观测员”，研究和记录京津冀协同发展的变动特征与运行轨迹。一、指标体系的构建思路与方法（一）构建目的构建京津冀协同发展指标体系，目的是要其发挥监测运行、发现问题、评估政策、预测前景、衡量目标等五大作用。监测运行。京津冀协同发展监测指标体系是多个层次的有机整体。通