家庭人口与市场经济-北大国家发展研究院BiMBA.docVIP

人口、家庭与市场经济(应用人口经济学的量测指标、基本分析方法) 北京大学中国经济研究中心/国家发展研究院 曾毅教授 简介应用人口经济学的量测指标、基本分析方法应用市场经济需要应用人口经济学应用人口经济学定义、研究对象基本框架、数据来源与方法工商人口家庭人口分析与预测在市场经济、社会规划与政策分析中的作用人口队列分析与时期分析的基本原理死亡分析婚姻与市场经济生育与市场经济人口迁移与市场经济口数据质量评估与调整经典的分要素人口预测方法经济－人口预测 家庭人口预测方法软件应用用于企业与政府决策的人口分析与预测案例授课：2012年月22--11月4日; 2013年 Instructor: Professor Zeng Yi Office: Room 505, China Center for Economic Research (CCER); Tel.Email: zengyi68@ Office Hours：10:00-12:00 am. Mondays 具体时间: 周18：40-21：30地点: 北京大学中国经济研究中心小教室 Prerequisites: There are no prerequisites. Graduate students, senior undergraduate students and visiting scholars are welcome to take this course. Background: With rapid development of market economy, it becomes more important for Chinese economists, demographers, sociologists, and policy analysts to understand relationship between dynamic changes of population, family household and market economy. General Objectives: This course offers the up-to-date review on basic concepts, measurements, methods, empirical data, and discussions on the population, family households, analysis, forecasting and their application in market analysis, social planning and policy studies in the context of market economy. How Students will benefit from this Course: Students in Economics, Demography, Market and Managements, Sociology, Public Policy, Environmental Science, Community and Family Medicine, and other related fields will benefit from taking this course mainly in the following aspects: (1) Demographic, Market and Economic Analysis. Consumers, producers, purchase power, and consumption intention etc. are all closely related to populations and family households. Almost all consumer productions of materials and services, the development of public utilities such as nursing homes, gas and electricity, and the construction of roads and transportation networks are determined by the current status of and anticipated changes in population, family households, and socio-economics. The consumption