对亚洲的影响.ppt

Impact on Asia - 对亚洲的影响 Outflow of capital from Asia (100 billion $$$ in 2008) ? stock markets crash credit squeeze ? rising costs of borrowings ? investments slow down ? greater demand for FOREX depreciates national currencies ? increases the costs of imports foreign debt servicing 资本从亚洲撤离（2008年超过1000亿美元） ?股票市场崩溃，信贷紧缩?贷款成本上涨?投资减速?外汇需求增加，本国货币贬值?进口和举外债成本增加 Impact on Asia - 对亚洲的影响 Recession in Western markets ? exports slow down ? decline in foreign exchange earnings ? current account deficit ? pressure on national currencies 西方市场的衰退?出口减少?外汇收入降低?经常账户赤字?为本国货币带来压力 Remittances, foreign aid, govt revenue go down 国外汇款、外国援助、政府财政收入降低 affects growth prospects, domestic investments, infrastructure, employment social welfare of people 影响经济增长前景、国内投资、基础设施建设、就业和社会福利 “The current recovery plans are necessary, but insufficient. It is not enough to inject money into the economy, we need to change its principles to make sure it generates social justice, development for all, equity, stability and long-term prosperity,” – says international labour movement. “现在的恢复计划是必要的，但是不充分。仅仅将资金注入经济是不够的，我们还需要改变经济原则，使之带来社会正义、所有人共享的发展、平等、稳定和长期繁荣，” ——国际工会运动如是说。 ILO’s policy prescriptions国际劳工组织的政策处方 Focus resources on promotion of domestic employment social protection while ensuring fundamental rights at work social dialogue to address the problems 集中资源促进国内就业和社会保护，同时保证工作中的基本权利，通过对话解决问题 Ensure credit for domestic industry, trade investment 保证国内产业、贸易和投资的信贷 Stimulate dom. demand thru public private exp invst. 通过公共部门和私营部门的出口和投资，刺激内需 ILO’s policy prescriptions国际劳工组织的政策处方 Special emp. soc. protection measures for workers out of jobs - 为失业工人采取特殊的就业和社会保护措施 Support productive small enterprises cooperatives as also promote green jobs - 支持高效的小型企业和合作社，推广绿色工作 Maintain development aid provide additional credit lines to developing countries - 维持发展援助并且为发展中国家提供更多的信贷途径 Regulate finance capital - 监管金融资本 Export dependence of Asia亚洲对出口的依赖 Almost 60% of final demand for Asian goods c