THEIMPACTOFEXCHANGERATEREGIMES.doc

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THEIMPACTOFEXCHANGERATEREGIMES

Staff Working Paper ERAD-98-07 July, 1998 World Trade Organization Economic Research and Analysis Division Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of Trade Policy in Transition Economies1 Zdenek Drabek: WTO Josef C. Brada: Arizona State University Manuscript date: July, 1998 Disclaimer: This is a working paper, and hence it represents research in progress. This paper represents the opinions of individual staff members or visiting scholars, and is the product of professional research. It is not meant to represent the position or opinions of the WTO or its Members, nor the official position of any staff members. Any errors are the fault of the authors. Copies of working papers can be requested from the divisional secretariat by writing to: Economic Research and Analysis Division, World Trade Organization, rue de Lausanne 154, CH-1211 Genéve 21, Switzerland. Please request papers by number and title. Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of Trade Policy in Transition Economies Zdenek Drabek World Trade Organization Geneva, Switzerland Josef C. Brada Arizona State University Tempe, AZ 85287-3806 Running Head: Exchange Regimes and Trade Policy Proofs to: Dr. Zdenek Drabek World Trade Organization Centre William Reppard Rue de Laussane 154 CH-1211 Geneve 21 Switzerland FAX: 41 22 739 5762 e-mail: zdenek.drabek@ ABSTRACT This paper examines the interplay between exchange rate regimes and policies and commercial policy in six transition economies. In all these economies the rate of protection afforded domestic industry by the exchange rate has been eroded by high rates of inflation and insufficient growth in productivity. As a result, there has been pressure on governments to increase trade barriers and each country examined has had recourse to various means of restricting imports. We argue that more flexible management of the nominal exchange rate would be a prefer

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