浙江省进口贸易结构与经济增长的相关性分析.docx

浙江省进口贸易结构与经济增长的相关性分析摘要：进口通过……影响一国经济的增长，进口贸易结构对一国经济增长……因此，本文基于对浙江省的进口贸易、进口贸易结构与经济增长情况的分析，探索进口商品贸易结构与进口贸易方式结构与经济增长的相关性以及内在影响方式，通过单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验，发现浙江省进口贸易商品结构中，初级产品与工业制成品的进口分别从短期、长期对经济增长产生作用；在进口贸易方式结构中，加工贸易与一般贸易对经济增长产生正向作用，其他贸易对经济增长产生负向作用。依据实证结果、实际发展现状与相关理论分析对促进浙江省进口贸易发展提出了……等相关建议。关键词：浙江；经济增长；贸易商品结构；贸易方式结构；AbstractAccording to the development experience of the world countr,export trade plays an important role in stimulating economic development. However,the importance of import trade to economic growth has also aroused the concern of the academia. Import trade can make up for the lack of export trade on the impact of industrial structure via the adjustment of trade structure. Therefore,based on the analysis of import trade、import trade structure and economic development of Zhejiang Province,this paper explores the relationship between import trade structure and import trade structure to economic growth and the way of the internal influence. By using unit root test、cointegration test and Granger Causality Test, it is found that the import of primary products and industrial manufactures in Zhejiangs import trade structure has a short-term and long-term effect on economic growth respectively.In the structure of import trade,processing trade、general trade have an impact on economic growth,also the other trade has a negative effect on economic growth.Based on the empirical results、the actual development status and the related theoretical analysis,put forward some suggestions to promote the development of import trade in Zhejiang Province.Keywords：Import trade；The development of economic；Trade structure；Trade structure；根据中文再调整一下目 录一、研究背景及意义4二、国内外相关研究回顾4（一）进口与经济增长的相关研究5（二）区域性进口贸易对经济增长的实证研究5（三）进口贸易对经济增长贡献度的研究6（四）优化进口结构政策研究7一、二两章合为一章。原第二章内容可适当精简。二、进口贸易结构与经济增长的基本理论分析8（一）相关理论分析81.古典贸易理论82.新古典贸易理论93.新贸易理论9（二）进口贸易结构促进经济增长的作用机制及影响因素101.进口贸易结构促进经济增长的传导机制102.进口贸易结构促进经济增长的影响因素11这一章用（二）做章标题；（一）的内容可保留，但须压缩字数，并改标题为：进口贸易结构对经济增长影响的一般性理论分析三、浙江省进口贸易结构与经济增长的现状11（一）浙江省进口贸易发展现状12（二）浙江省