人民币升值对中国纺织出口企业的负面影响与对策-毕设论文.doc

河南财经学院成功学院本科生毕业论文 人民币升值对中国纺织出口企业的负面影响与对策 院系名称 商学系 姓　　名 　　号 专　　业 指导教师 2010年月日关键词：  Abstract Being the currency of china, exchange rate of RMB has tremendous effect on export. Since the foreign currency exchange reformation in 2005, RMB keeps raising smoothly at a speed of on or below 3% per year. In recent years, the exchange rate of RMB raise rapidly, for China’s volume of exports expands speedily. The volume of textile export is 102.909 billion in 2008 which stands for 12.82% of the total volume of exports. The analysis in this article are implemented on circumstances that the exchange rate of RMB raised, describing the effect textile exporting companies will suffer under relevant environment. Such as decrease on revenue and profits of textile companies and other negative effects. We then indicate these negative effects with specified statistics and data, and then propose a set of feasible strategies and suggestion through researching. Proposal in this article are mainly for companies, but suggestions for the government are also included. The exchange rate of RMB undoubtedly has become the national hot topic. Especially under the impact of recent financial crisis, it is surely one of the core missions for every export companies to research and conquer. Key Words: Exchange rate of RMB; Textile industry; Labor intensive industry; Specialization  目 录 引 言 1 一、影响人民币升值的主要因素 2 （一）近年人民币汇率走势 2 （二）影响人民币升值的主要因素分析 2 1．贸易顺差持续扩大 2 2．制度因素 3 3．直接投资和投机推动 3 4．缓解国际社会的压力的需要 3 二、人民币升值对纺织出口企业的负面影响 4 （一）我国纺织业出口的现状 4 （二）人民币升值对纺织出口企业的负面影响的具体分析 4 1．纺织出口企业的出口收入增幅下降 4 2．纺织出口企业的竞争将更趋激烈 6 3．人民币升值导致纺织企业利润大幅降低 7 4．人民币升值会加大就业压力 8 5．人民币升值导致外国投资减少 8 三、纺织业应对人民币升值的对策 10 （一）纺织品出口企业自身的对策 10 1．加速调整产品结构加速调整产品结构 10 2．向专业化方向发展 10 3．通过保值措施规避风险 10 4．积极调整经营战略 11 （二）应对负面影响的政府对策 11 1．建立和完善纺织品标准化体系 11 2．实现纺织业产业升级 12 3．建立国外技术壁垒的预警机制 12 （三）加强行业自律组织建设 12 结 语 13 参考文献 14 致 谢 15  引 言在开放经济条件下，汇率的变动直接影响到全球资本的流动方向，并对一个国家的经济特别是对其国际贸易和投资的规模有着非常大的影响。汇率的下降能提高一个国家出口贸易的竞争优势；汇率的上升使国际投资的成本更低。汇