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INFLATION-MinistryofFinance
Chapter 07
INFLATION
7.1 Introduction growth as well as macroeconomic stability. Both
Inflation is a key indicator of a country and empirical and theoretical studies demonstrate that
provides important insight on the state of the there is a strong link between inflation and output
economy and the sound macroeconomic policies (unemployment). Very high levels of inflation as
that govern it. A stable inflation not only gives a well as very low levels of inflation are equally
nurturing environment for economic growth, but damaging for an economy. Both extremes arrest
also uplifts the poor and fixed income citizens who growth prospects, impose economic suffering on
are the most vulnerable in society. Over the last the population, cause inefficient allocation of
decade, with a few exceptions, inflation around the resources, inexplicably hurt the poor and fixed
world had been at a retreat. However, with buoyant income groups, create uncertainty throughout the
global growth, along with higher population
economy and undermine macroeconomic policies.
growth, rapid industrialization and urbanization in
emerging markets, and strong per capita income High inflation always burdens the poor and fixed-
growth, inflation has started veering its ugly head income groups more than the rich since they are
in many parts of the world, including Pakistan. In not able to protect themselves against the costs
the midst of soaring demand for essential attached to inflation, nor able to hedge against the
commodities, food inflation has emerged as the risks that inflation brings with it. In contrast, low
main contributor to recent global inflationary or falling inflation can also have a negative impact
pressures. on growth through several different factors. For
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