基于面板数据的省会城市居住地价的差异及成因研究基于面板数据的省会城市居住地价的差异及成因研究.pdf

第 23 卷 第 6 期 中 国 土 地 科 学 Vol.23 No.6 2009 年 6 月 China Land Science Jun.,2009 基于面板数据的省会城市居住地价的差异及成因研究 丁洪建 （中国城市规划设计研究院，北京 100044） 摘要：研究目的：基于 2000 — 2006 年面板数据，分析省会城市居住地价的差异、主要影响因子及其影响程度。研究方 法：混合 OLS 估计方法、固定效应模型和随机效应模型。研究结果：（1）中国省会城市居住地价存在明显的时空差异， 2005 年及以后地价增长明显，且东部地区地价与中、西部地区的差距进一步拉大；（2）将城市间居住地价的影响因素分 为全国宏观经济因素、区域整体差异因素和城市个体因素三个层面，并基于引致需求理论，构建更具实效性的城市居住 地价影响因子体系；（3）建成区面积、城市人均 GDP、国际旅游收入、2004 年 8 月 31 日之后土地供应方式的重大转变（正 向关系）和房地产开发投资（负向关系）对居住地价有显著影响。研究结论：面板数据模型是中国城市间地价问题定量分 析的一个有效工具。 关键词：土地经济；居住地价；面板数据；省会城市 中图分类号：F301.3 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1001- 8158（2009）06- 0014- 06 An Analysis of the Discrepancies of Residential Land Prices and Its Causes Based on the Panel Data of Provincial Capitals in China DING Hong- jian （China Academy of Urban Planning Design, Beijing 100044, China） Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to calculate the discrepancies of residential land prices among provincial capitals and to investigate into the causes as well as their influential degrees on the basis of panel data from 2002 to 2006. Methods of mixed OLS model, fixed effects model, random effects model are applied in the research. The conclusions are as follows:1）the residential land prices have significantly increased since 2005 in all of the provincial capital cities, and the prices gap between the eastern China and the rest regions has enlarged, 2） the factors influencing the residential land price are divided into national, regional, and city levels, and an effective factor system determining the land price was built based on the derived demand theory, 3） the detailed factors that influencing residential land price include the acreage