我国资本品进口来源国转移的技术溢出效应分析.pdfVIP

一 116 - (2012 年 10 月)第 10 期 中国科技论坛 我国资本品进口来源国转移的 技术溢出效应分析 胡小娟，王l 娜 (湖南大学经济与贸易学院，湖南 长沙 410079 ) 摘 要:近年来，我国从美国、日本、法国、德国等发达国家进口的资本品占进口总额的比重不断下降， 而从韩国、新加坡、泰国、马来西亚等发展中国家进口的比重却不断上升，形成了从技术发达国家向技 术相对落后的发展中国家转移的态势。文章基于 DEA-Malmquist 指数法对 1996-2009 年问我国资本品进 口相对集中的六大制造部门全要素生产率、技术效率和技术进步进行分析，通过构建 CH 模型，研究我国 资本品进口来源国这一转移过程中技术溢出效应发生的变化，研究结果表明资本品进口来源国转移对我 国技术溢出不利。针对这一结论，文章提出了相应的政策建议。 关键词:资本品进口;来源国转移;技术溢出; RD 中图分类号: F746.17 文献标识码:A Empirical Study on the Influence of the Shift of China Capital Goods Import Source Countries on Technology Spillover Hu Xiaojuan , Wang Na (School of Economics and Trade , Hunan University , Changsha 410079 , China) Abstract: In recent years , the weight of capital goods ìmport from USA , Japan , France , Germany and olher developed countries ìn Chinese total imports has been decreasing; on the contrary , that from South Korea , Singapore , Thailand , Malaysia and other develo- ping countries has been increasing. The shift from developed countries to developing countries with regard to technology is obvious. This p且per computes Malmquist productivity index , technical progress index of Chinas 6 main capital goods producing induslries from 1996 to 2009 by DEA. At the same time , it builds a CH model by using the value of imported capital goods during 1996-2009 from developed countries and developing countries respecti飞rely 10 study the influence of the shift on the technology spillover effect. The results show that the inl1uence is negative. Finally , the paper makes a sel of propositions