城镇建设用地需求预测研究_基于恩格尔系数与人均建设用地面积模型分析.pdf

城镇建设用地需求预测研究_基于恩格尔系数与人均建设用地面积模型分析.pdf

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城镇建设用地需求预测研究_基于恩格尔系数与人均建设用地面积模型分析

1 1,2 , Study on the Prediction Methods of Urban Building Land Demand: Based on the Model of Engel Coefficient and Per Capita Urban Building Land Area YANG Tao1, ZHU Ming-cang1, 2 (1. Information Center, Land and Resources Department of Sichuan Province Chengdu 610072, China; 2. School of Economics, South Western University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 610074, China) Abstract: To solve the problem in the actual prediction methods on urban building land, an exploratory research is carried out on a model of Engel coefficient and per capita urban building land area in a creative way. This model covers the shortage of the ration of per capita urban building land area. There is a negative correlation between Engel coefficient and per capita urban building land area through theory analysis. This paper sets up a prediction model on this foundation, and carries out a prediction analysis to Chengdu city.This model provides a scientific basis for the general land use planning. Key words: land economics; urban building Land; Engel coefficient; land planning 159 (GBJ137-90) [1] [2][3][4] [5]

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