纯电动汽车保有量预测以及充电设施需求分析.pdf

Smart Grid 智能电网, 2011, 1, 73-77 doi:10.4236/sg.2011.13015 Published Online December 2011 (/journal/sg) Prediction of Electric Vehicles Ownership and Charging Facilities 1* 1 2 Changshou Xiong , Di Wu , Tao Chen 1Chongqing Electric Power Corporation, Chongqing 2Chongqing Electric Power Test and Research Institute, Chongqing * Email: xcscqep@163.com Received: Oct. 28th, 2011; revised: Dec. 1st, 2011; accepted: Dec. 3rd, 2011. Abstract: A reasonable planning and construction of electric vehicle charging facilities can not only improve the operation efficiency of charging facility, but also can reduce the harm to the grid. Therefore, in the paper the analysis on the pure electric vehicle charging facilities needs are carried out. Firstly analysis of the current car ownership forecasting methods is discussed, and method to forecast the ownership of electrical vehicle (EV) is presented. Then the ownership of EV in Chongqing is analyzed, and results indicate that the method presented in this paper can calculate the EV owner ship correctly. In the end the method to evaluate the requirement of EV charging faculties is presented, and the requirement of EV charging faculties in Chongqing is analyzed. Keywords: Pure Electric Vehicles; Ownership; Charging Station; Charge Pile 纯电动汽车保有量预测以及充电设施需求分析 1* 1 2 熊长寿 ，吴 嘀 ，陈 涛 1 重庆市电力公司，重庆 2 重庆