基于层次灰色模型铁路技术创新绩效综合评价_夏伟怀.pdf

3 5 Vol3 No5 2006 10 JOURNA OF RAI WAY SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING Oct. 2006 1 2 1 , , ( 1. 中南大学 交通运输工程学院, 湖南长沙410075; 2.长沙理工大学 数学与计算机学院, 湖南长沙410076) :运用技术创新基本理论, 结合铁 技术创新实际,从效益( 经济社会) 增长市场状态( 市场份额市场营销) 改善和 创新主体素质(技术装备水平管理水平) 提高3 个方面建立了评价铁 技术创新绩效的多级指标体系将层次分析法 ( AHP) 和灰色系统理论结合起来建立了层次灰色评价模型(HGM) ,运用该模型对铁 技术创新绩效分别从整体和分项进行 了综合评价,得出: 铁 技术创新绩效绩优度为 一般,其主要原因在于铁 运输市场状态改善中市场份额扩大程度较低 实证分析结果表明:改进层次灰色评价法( 层次灰色评价模型) 为一种评价铁 技术创新绩效的有效方法 :铁 技术创新绩效; 层次灰色模型;综合评价; 灰色系统; 层次分析法(AHP) :F506 :A : 1672- 7029(2006) 05- 0082- 05 Synthetic evaluation of technological innovation performance of railway on the basis of the Hierarchy Grey Model 1 2 1 XIA We-i huai , IN Gu-ixiang , CHEN Zh-i ya ( 1. School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering , Central South University , Changsha410075, China; 2. School of Mathematics and Computer, Changsha University of Technology, Changsha 410076, China) Abstract : By applying the basictheories of technological innovation to the reality of the railway, themultistage index system of appraisingtechnological innovation performanceof therailwaywas set up from three respects: benefit (econo- my, society) increase, market state (market share, marketing) improvement and the subject quality (technical equip- ment , management level ) strengthening. Hierarchy Grey Model (HGM) was put forward through combiningAnalytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Grey Systematic Theory together, and the technological innovation performance of the railway was evaluated from thewhole and parts by using themodel. Thefollowing conclusion is gotten: Thegood per- formance