2012-01-17_汇丰银行China Grocery Retailers-Setting up for a rebound.pdf

2012-01-17_汇丰银行China Grocery Retailers-Setting up for a rebound.pdf

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2012-01-17_汇丰银行China Grocery Retailers-Setting up for a rebound

Consumer Retail abc China Multiline Retail Global Research China Grocery Growth and margins could recover as early as 2Q12 Retailers Post the correction from 4Q11, the Setting up for a rebound sector is setting up for a rebound Remain OW(V) on Sun Art; upgrade Summary of ratings and target prices Wumart to N(V) from UW(V) Ticker Price Old New Old New Pot. (HKD) rating rating TP TP Return Going through a rough patch. Grocery retailers have had a Sun Art 6808 HK 9.80 OW(V) OW(V) 11.5 11.8 21.5% rough six months with consumer demand growth weakening on Retail Wumart 1025 HK 16.02 UW(V) N(V) 16.9 16.1 2.4% high inflation in 3Q11 and remaining weak in 4Q11 as Source: HSBC estimates. Prices as of 12 January 2012. Potential return equals the percentage consumers delayed purchases in anticipation that inflation difference between the current share price and the target price, plus the forecast dividend yield. would continue to ease. This weakness is likely to continue through 1Q12 due to a shorter Chinese New Year (CNY)

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