奥巴马卸任时美国不再是头号经济强国.doc

奥巴马卸任时美国将不再是头号经济强国 By The Time Obama Leaves Office, U.S. No Longer No. 1 By 2016, the United States will no longer be the world’s No. 1 economy. That title will be handed over to none other than the current No. 2: China. 到2016年，美国将不再是世界第一大经济体。这一殊荣拱手相让的对象不是别人正是目前第二大经济体中国。 The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development in Paris said in report published this week that China was on course to surpass the U.S. economy in just three short years. 在本周发表的一份报告中，位于巴黎的经济合作与发展组织（OECD）表示，中国正在奋起直追的路上，并将于短短三年之内赶超美国经济。 That’s about the time President Barack Obama will end his second term. The next president will potentially be the first one since World War II that didn’t govern the world’s most powerful economy. Most forecasts, however, have China’s economy at No. 1 in 2020. 那时大约正是奥巴马总统的第二任期行将结束之际。奥巴马的接班人将可能成为自二战以来首位没有掌管世界头号经济强国的美国总统。然而，大多数人预测中国经济将于2020年称雄世界。 “From a long-range perspective, China has now overtaken the Euro area and is on course to become the world’s largest economy around 2016, after allowing forprice differences, ” OECD said in its China report released this week. “从长期来看，中国现在已经超越了欧元区，考虑到价格差异的因素，并将于2016年左右成为全世界最大的经济体。”经合组织在本周发布的中国报告上如是说道。 Chinastill has a lot of growing to do. By comparison, it’s per capita income is three and a half times less than that of the U.S., and even less than Brazil. But most economists forecast that China抯 rapid urbanization ?now at 50% and seen rising to 70% within five years ?coupled with higher incomes will change the way China operates. As it is, China is moving from an export driven economy to a more Western one that is geared to its local consumers. 中国仍有许多发展工作要做。相比之下，中国的人均收入比美国低三倍半，甚至不及巴西。但大多数经济学家预测中国快速的城镇化进程（目前的城镇化水平为50%，五年内有望上升到70%），加之收入的提高，将改变中国的运作方式。实际上，中国正从出口驱动型经济转型成面向本土消费者的、更西方化的经济模式。 Its new leadership has made social programs a focus of its five year plan as well. China, for all its wealth in the Eastern cities, is still a poor country. And an aging one. China will spend billions building out its socia