中国2030年碳排放达峰研究进展.pdf

Geographical Science Research 地理科学研究, 2017, 6(1), 26-34 Published Online February 2017 in Hans. /journal/gser /10.12677/gser.2017.61004 Studies on the Carbon Emission Peak of China in 2030: A Review 1 2,3 2 1 Xiaxiang Li , Xuezhen Zhang , Fang Wang , Lijuan Zhang 1 Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Monitoring of Geographic Environment, College of Heilongjiang Province, Harbin Normal University, Harbin Heilongjiang 2 Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 3 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing st th st Received: Jan. 21 , 2017; accepted: Feb. 18 , 2017; published: Feb. 21 , 2017 Abstract The carbon emission peak of China is an international focus. Here, we carried out a literature re- view for the studies on the carbon emission peak of China in 2030 to summarize the study pro- gresses. The literature review shows that these studies mostly were achieved by using models. There are generally three categories of models, which are decomposition models, top-down mod- els and system optimized models. These model-based studies show that carbon emissions of China would peak around 2030 in the conditions of changing energy structure and industrial structure, transforming the development mode, promoting clean energy and appropriately increasing car- bon sequestration ability. At the level of provinces, the peak of carbon emissions would as well as occur around 2030 with the supports of localized development road under the national