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巴菲特--我为何不看好美元(Buffett - why dont I look at the dollar)
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Buffett - why dont I look at the dollar?
Authors: Warren, E., Buffett
Americas growing trade deficit has made us lose the foundation of our country. There is a solution here, and it is necessary for us to act immediately
I want to warn the United States of America about the trade deficit, and I also need to give advice on how to solve the problem. But first of all, I need to remind you that you might be skeptical about what Im saying for two reasons. First of all, my prediction of macroeconomic trends has never been encouraging. For example, the past twenty years on inflation is always jittery, state of extreme nervousness. There are many examples of this, early in 1987 I said publicly that I am on the widening trade deficit heavy-hearted - but as you know, we not only withstood the pressure brought by the trade deficit, and thriving. So, on trade matters, I cried at least once, wolf!. Even so, Im going to call the wolf, and this time I have the financial backing of Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway). By the spring of 2002, I had not bought foreign exchange for nearly 72 years. But since then, Berkshire has invested heavily and has now held several foreign currencies. Im not going to reveal what kind of currency they are; in fact, what foreign exchange I bought is irrelevant to what Im going to say. What matters is the implication of this move: that I hold other currencies means that I think the dollar will depreciate.
I am an American citizen and an investor, so I really hope my actions are wrong. As the dollar depreciates, Berkshire and our shareholders may lose in other areas of their lives, and any gains from foreign exchange trading will be feeble. But as the leader of Berkshire Hathaway company, it is my duty to invest in the companys funds in a reasonable way. I finally decided to take the money I have been interested in the field, because our trade deficit has
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