Emma Harvey Plan EIA conference课件.ppt

Sustainability and SEA for Urban Master Plans城市总体规划的可持续性及战略环境评价2nd National Forum on Plan-Related Environmental Impact Assessment Technology and Management第二届全国规划环境影响评价技术与管理交流会 ;A key question…;My background我的背景;Key challenges and issues 主要的挑战及问题;Key challenges and issues 主要的挑战及问题;A unique challenge独特的挑战;Key challenges主要挑战;Rate of economic development经济发展速度;Rate of economic development经济发展速度;Key challenges主要挑战;Rate of population growth人口增长速度;Key challenges主要挑战;Rate of urbanisation 城市化率;Rate of urbanisation;Future urbanisation未来城市化发展;Key challenges主要挑战;Rate of agricultural land loss农田的减失;Minister of Land and Resources said that agricultural land should never shrink below 120 million hectares 国土资源部部长说，农业用地不应减少到1.2亿公顷以下 (23rd April 2007, Xinhua) （2007年4月3，新华社） ;Rate of agricultural land loss 农业用地减少的速率;Key challenges主要挑战; China is expected to exceed USA as largest emitter of CO2 within 2007/08 中国预期在2007至08年超过美国的CO2排放量 (International Energy Agency, April 2007) ;Energy consumption and greenhouse gases 能源消耗和温室气体排放;Key challenges主要挑战;Direct observations of recent climate change (IPCC Report 2007): 对于目前气候变化的直接观测 Changes in Arctic temperatures and decrease in ice extent 全球平均气温的变化以及冰川范围的减少 Widespread changes in precipitation amounts, ocean salinity, wind patterns 在暴雨量，海洋自净能力和风活动规律上发生着越来越广变化 Extreme weather conditions:极端气候条件 More intense and longer droughts 越来越严重和持久的干旱 Increased frequency of heavy precipitation 越来越频发和严重的暴雨 widespread changes in extreme temperatures 广泛的气温变化 increase in intensity of tropical cyclones 热带风暴的恶化 ;Climate change气候变化; In China global warming could bring longer droughts and reduced farm productivity due to the melting of glaciers that supply major rivers. In some areas, rainfall will increase, resulting in deaths and heavy economic losses in southern China (China Meteorological Administration) 在中国，全球变暖导致主要河流源头－冰川的消融，由此可能造成更长期的干旱和农业产量的减少。而在中国南方部分地区, 降雨量增加, 有可能导致人员的伤亡和严重的经济损失 (China Meteor