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Statistics with Economics and Business Applications课件
Statistics with Economics and Business Applications
Chapter 12 Multiple Regression Analysis
A brief exposition
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Introduction
We can use the same basic ideas in simple linear regression to analyze relationships between a dependent variable and several independent variables
Multiple regression is an extension of the simple linear regression for investigating how a response y is affected by several independent variables, x1, x2, x3,…, xk.
Our objective are
find relationships between y and x1, x2, x3,…, xk
predict y using x1, x2, x3,…, xk
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Example
Fatness (y) may depend on
x1 = age
x2 = sex
x3 = body type
Monthly sales (y) of the retail store may depend on
x1 = advertising expenditure
x2 = time of year
x3 = state of economy
x4 = size of inventory
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Some Questions
Which of the independent variables are useful and which are not?
How could we create a prediction equation to allow us to predict y using knowledge of x1, x2, x3 etc?
How strong is the relationship between y and the independent variables?
How good is this prediction?
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The General Linear Model
y = b0+ b1x1 + b2x2 +…+ bkxk + e
y is the dependent variable.
b0, b1, b2,..., bk are unknown parameters
x1, x2,..., xk are independent predictor variables
The deterministic part of the model,
E(y) = b0+ b1x1 + b2x2 +…+ bkxk ,
describes average value of y for any fixed values of x1, x2,..., xk . The observation y deviates from the deterministic model by an amount e
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