公共交通换乘时间可靠度研究.pdf

24 9 Vol24 o9 2007 9 Journal of Highway andTransportation Research and Development Sep 2007 :(2007) 1,2 2 2 1 戴 帅 , 姜华平, 陈海泳 , 陈艳艳 ( 1 , 100022; 2 , 250023) : 首先对国内公共交通换乘进行了分析, 根据其存在问题, 基于可靠度理论的 究, 从不同角度对公共交通系统 的换乘时间可靠度进行了分析, 并建立了零距离换乘时间可靠度模型及非零距离换乘时间可靠度模型最后, 运用算 例对换乘时间的变化对可靠度的影响规律进行验证, 结果表明当平均换乘时间一定时, 随着实际换乘时间的增加, 换 乘可靠度是降低的; 而实际换乘时间是一定时, 随着平均换乘时间的降低, 换乘时间可靠度递增, 且增幅加大 : 交通工程; 公共交通; 换乘; 可靠度 : U4912 : A St udy on Transfer Reliability of Integrated Public Transport 1, 2 2 2 1 DAI Shuai , JIA G Huaping , CHE Haiyong , CHE Yanyan ( 1Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering ( Beijing University of Technology) , Beijing 100022, China; 2Department of communications and Logistics Engineering, Shandong Jiaotong University, Shandong Jinan 250023, China) Abstract: The transfer of public transit in domestic is analyzedBased on the existing issues and the reliability theory, transfer time reliability of public transportation has been analyzed from different points, the models of zero distance transfer reliability and nonzero distance transfer reliability have been made umerical experiment is presentedto validate the influence rule of transfer time s change to the reliability of public transportationThe result shows that, when the average transfer time is fixed, transfer reliability will decrease with the increase of actual transfer time; while the actual transfer time is fixed, transfer reliability will increase with the reduction of average transfer time, and the amplitudewill incre