基于电动汽车发展前景与关键因素分析.pdf

牛 上 程 学兔兔 2012年(第34卷)第9期 Automotive Engineering 2012167 电动汽车发展前景与关键因素分析术 郭春林 ，甄子健。，武 力 ，肖湘宁 (I．华北电力大学，新能源国家重点实验室，北京 102206；2．科技部高新技术研究发展中心，北京 100044) [摘要] 通过在第25届世界电动汽车大会上的调查，对电动汽车发展前景和关键因素进行了实证研究。结 果表明，纯电动汽车和混合动力汽车具有较好的发展前景，其中后者的应用条件更为成熟。价格和配套设施等技术 经济因素是关键问题，国内外在这些方面存在明显的差异。不同商业模式和充电模式得到的认可度不同，但都有一 定的应用需求，不能简单取舍。 关键词：电动汽车；充电模式；商业模式；充电设施 Prospects and Key Factors Analysis of Electric Vehicles Development Guo Chunlin ，Zhen Zijian ，Wu Li Xiao Xiangning 1．Noah China Electric Power University，State Key Laboratory ofAlternate Electrical Power S~tem with Renewable Energy Sourc~，BeOing 102206； 2．High TechnologyResearch and Development Center ofMinistry ofScience and Technology，Beijing 100044 [Abstract] An empirical research on the prospects and key factors of electric vehicle development is conduc- ted based on the questionnaires survey in the EVS25 symposium．The results demonstrate that both battery electric vehicles and hybrid electric vehicles have good prospects，in which the latter have more mature application condi— tion。Some technical and economic factors such as price and supporting facilities gee key issues for EV development， that gee quite different between China and other countries．Different commercial modes and battery charging modes own different acceptances but all have certain demands，SO it is not appropriate to simply accept one and reject an- other． Keywords：electric vehicle；battery charging mode；business style；battery charging facilities 我国深圳举行的机会，在科技部电动汽