USDA Agricultural Projections to 2023：美国农业部农业预测2023.docx

United States Department of AgricultureOfficeoftheChiefEconomistWorld Agricultural Outlook BoardLong-term Projections ReportOCE-2014-1February 2014USDAAgriculturalProjectionsto2023InteragencyAgriculturalProjectionsCommitteeWorldAgriculturalOutlookBoard,ChairEconomicResearchServiceFarmServiceAgencyForeignAgriculturalServiceAgricultural Marketing ServiceOfficeoftheChiefEconomistOfficeofBudgetandProgramAnalysisRiskManagementAgencyNaturalResourcesConservationServiceNational Institute of Food and AgricultureUSDA Long-term ProjectionsLong-term Projections on the InternetUSDA Agricultural Projections to 2023is available in both pdf and Microsoft Word formats at:/oce/commodity/projections/and also at:/publications/oce-usda-agricultural-projections/oce141.aspxData from the new USDA long-term projections are available electronically at:/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1192Information on USDA’s long-term projections process may be found at:/topics/farm-economy/agricultural-baseline-projections/usdas-long-term-projections-process.aspxUSDAAgriculturalProjectionsto2023.OfficeoftheChiefEconomist,World Agricultural Outlook Board, U.S.DepartmentofAgriculture.PreparedbytheInteragencyAgriculturalProjectionsCommittee.Long-term ProjectionsReportOCE-2014-1,97pp.AbstractThis report provides projections for the agricultural sector to 2023. Projections cover agricultural commodities, agricultural trade, and aggregate indicators of the sector, such as farm?income. The projections are based on specific assumptions about macroeconomic conditions, policy, weather, and international developments, with no domestic or?external shocks to global agricultural markets. The 2008 Farm Act was assumed to be extended and remain in effect through the projection period. The projections are one representative scenario for the agricultural sector for the next decade and reflect a composite of model results and judgment-based analyses. The?projections in this report were prepared during October thr