以效率原则分解碳强度目标的结果方法与政策建议.ppt

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以效率原则分解碳强度目标的结果方法与政策建议.ppt

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以效率原则分解碳强度目标的结果方法与政策建议

the Input-Output and Emission Reduction in China Zhang Yaxiong 张亚雄Dept. of Economic Forecasting, State Information CenterNo.58 Sanlihe Road, Beijing, P.R.China 100045国家信息中心经济预测部100045北京市西城区三里河路58号 Email: zhangyx@mx.cei.gov.cn Contents The IOT compilation in China The applications in climate change study in SIC Estimation of China’s net export emission Sectoral competitiveness impacts of carbon pricing policy China’s carbon intensity target provincial dis-aggregation Summary China’s National and provincial level Input-Output tables 42 Updated table 2005 135 Benchmark table 2007 122 Benchmark table 2002 40 Updated table 2000 124 Benchmark table 1997 33 Updated table 1995 119 Benchmark table 1992 33 Updated table 1990 139 Benchmark table 1987 Number of industries Type of the Table Year the NBS national and provincial IO tables the SIC national IO tables competitive import type tables √ (133 sectors, updated table) 2005 √ (122 sectors import matrix) 2002 √ (142 sectors, updated table) 2000 √ (78 sectors, updated table) 1995 √ (106 sectors, updated table) 1990 √ (106 sectors, updated table) 1985 Non-competitive import type IO tables Year China’s Multi-provincial IO (CMPIO) models SIC’s first development work: 1997 China’s 8-region, 30-sector multi-regional IO model (SIC, 2005) The features of the 2002 and 2007 CMPIO the entire development work is based on 30 provinces (municipalities, autonomous regions), various regional versions of MRIO model can be made after aggregating different province groups estimation of interregional trade coefficients: we propose specific model based on entropy maximizing and gravity models in cooperation with Department of National Accounts of National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), we modify interregional transaction matrix, adopting the basic survey data reflecting inter-province inflow and outflow in “National Input-Output Survey 2007” when conducting balance adjustment, each province’s table are fully