云南农村居民消费结构统计研究-中国农学通报.pdf

中国农学通报 2012,28(11):208-214 Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 云南农村居民消费结构统计研究 李春波 （西南林业大学经济管理学院，昆明650224） 摘 要：为了解云南农村居民消费结构特征，利用云南省2000—2010 年的经济数据，进行描述统计分析、 时间序列分析、基于ELES 模型的边际消费倾向分析和收入弹性分析，对云南农村居民消费结构特征进 行实证研究。结果表明：2000—2010 年，云南农村居民消费水平在明显提升的情况下与全国相比总体 依然偏低，消费结构上呈现出食品支出比重较高的鲜明特点。边际消费倾向分析表明，在收入的影响 下，农村居民消费中有高消费倾向的是食品、医疗保健和居住。弹性分析则说明云南农村居民生活必需 品为食品和医疗保健，其余消费品均为奢侈品。云南农村居民消费结构不合理。 关键词：消费结构；农村居民；云南；统计分析 中图分类号：F328 文献标志码：A 论文编号：2012-0474 StatisticalResearchontheConsumptionStructureaboutYunnanRuralResidents Li Chunbo (SchoolofEconomicsandManagement,SouthwestForestryUniversity, Kunming 650224) Abstract: In order to understand the characteristics of rural residents ’consumption structure in Yunnan Province, with the economic data ranging from 2000 to 2010, applying descriptive statistic analysis, time series analysis, marginal propensity to consume and income elasticity analysis based on ELES model, the characteristics of rural residents ’consumption structure in Yunnan Province was studied on empirically. The results showed that the level of rural residents ’consumption in Yunnan Province was still low compared with the national, although the level was improved significantly from 2000 to 2010. A higher proportion of food expenditure was shown in the distinctive characteristics of consumption structure. Marginal propensity to consume analysis showed that the consumption of rural residents have a high propensity to consume food, medical care and living under the influence of income. The elastic analysis showed that the necessities for Yunnan rural residents were food and medical care, other con