基于偏离_份额分析的张掖市产业结构优化研究.docx

畜牧兽医┃水产养殖┃产业研究基于偏离 - 份额分析的张掖市产业结构优化研究杨清，陆森，刘志友（甘肃农业大学经济管理学院，甘肃 兰州 730070）摘 要：产业结构的优化对经济的增长起着至关重要的作用。运用偏离份额分析法，对张掖市 2008～2012 年三次产业发展进行统计分析，分析 三次产业结构及竞争力方面的优势、劣势，并确定了张掖市三次产业发展的方向和重点，认为张掖市应在突破传统体制和传统观念的束缚下，稳 固一产，积极推进现代生态农业发展；创新二产，加快发展生态工业；扩容三产，大力发展生态旅游，推动经济结构转型升级，以特色优势产业 来拉动张掖市经济的快速、可持续发展。关键词：偏离 - 份额分析； 产业结构； 张掖市中图分类号：P127文献标识码：A文章编号：1006-060X （2014） 15-0070-03Analysis on Industrial Structure Characteristics Based on Shift-Share Method in ZhangyeYANG Qing， LU Sen， LIU Zhi-you（College of Eeonomics and Management, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, PRC）Abstract： The optimization of industrial structure plays a vital role on the development of economy. This paper analyzed three times industrials of Zhang ye between 2008 and 2012 using shift-share method and found out the advantage and disadvantage of three industrial structure and its competitive to determine the direction and key point of industry development in Zhangye City. The result shows Zhangye should break through traditional system and the bondage of traditional ideas to steady first production and promote the development of modern ecological agriculture. Besides, it should innovate secundiparity and speed up the development of ecological industry. In addition, it should expand tertiary industry, develop ecological tourism vigorously and adjust industrial structure constantly to create a suitable environment for living and travelling, promote the transformation and upgrading of economic structure, and attempt to the develop preponderant industries. Meanwhile, Depending on special industries rapidly and continuously to drive the development of economy is its good choice.Key words： shift- share analysis; industrial structure; Zhangye City农业区域分工是随着市场经济商品交换空间的发 展和整个社会生产力水平的提高逐步形成的，是生产者 经过长期的市场竞争以及成本与效益比较的结果。区域 分工形成的主要原因是农业自然资源分布的地区差异、 经济条件的地域差异、市场条件的差异和生产成本的差 异等。甘肃属西部内陆省份，地处黄河上游黄土高原、内 蒙古高原和青藏高原的交汇地区，是我国农业最早开发 的地区之一，张掖位于甘肃省河西走廊中部，农业生产