我国外贸依存度.doc

摘 要 　Abstract Ratio of dependence on foreign trade is the ratio of commodity export and import value to gross domestic product of one country in a certain period. It reflects the connection between the economy of one country and that of the whole world. And it reflects the importance of the foreign trade of one country in its national economy to a certain extent. Ratio of dependence on foreign trade in China has been increasing since the beginning of reform and opening—up. It was as high as 70% in 2004. On the analysis of the development and present conditions of the ratio, the thesis concludes that the ratio’s increase is the result of multiple factors. There are some basic factors, such as the improvement of the worlds economy, the development of Chinas economy, etc. There are also some factors leading to overestimate of the ratio, such as the statistical methods, the fundamental realities of China, etc. On the one hand，the increase of ratio of dependence on foreign trade accelerates China’s participation in the global economic integration process, promotes domestic industrial upgrading, and boosts China’s economic growth. On the other hand, its increase brings a series of negative impacts, such as excessive dependence on external forces, lack of initiative, much more difficulty in macroeconomic regulation, the threat to economic security, etc. Considering the positive and negative effects of the increasing ratio, corresponding policy recommendations are made to enhance China’s strategic position in the international economy. Key words： ratio of dependence on foreign trade; Exchange rate; Industry structure 目录 1 绪论 1 1.1 选题的背景和意义 1 1.2 本文的结构与内容 1 2 外贸依存度概述 2 2.1外贸依存度的概念 2 2.2 我国外贸依存度的特点 2 2.3 我国对外贸易依存度的构成 3 2.3.1外贸目的地的构成 3 2.3.2贸易依存度中的产业结构 4 2.3.3中国劳动密集型产品依存度较高 4 2.3.4 战略资源产品对外依赖程度增加 5 2.3.5 中国贸易增长与外资企业 6 2.4 外贸依存度得决定因素 6 3我国外贸依存度现状分析 8 3.1我国外贸依存度历史演变 8 3.2我国外贸依存度现状 8 3.3我国外贸依存度过高的原因 9 3.3.1对外贸易政策 9 3.3.2加工贸易比重过高 10 3.3.3人民币汇率波动影响 10 3.3.4对外贸易依存度被高