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Reliability Block Diagram Modeling – A Comparison of the Results :可靠性框图建模–结果的比较
Reliability Block Diagram Modeling – A Comparison of Three Software Packages Aron Brall, SRS Technologies, Mission Support Division William Hagen, Ford Motor Company, Powertrain Manufacturing Engineering Hung Tran, SRS Technologies, Mission Support Division THE SOFTWARE PACKAGES - 1 ARINC RAPTOR 7.0.07 From RAPTOR web site: “Raptor is a software tool that simulates the operations of any system.” “Sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation algorithms are used to achieve these results.” Our Take: Pure Monte Carlo simulation tool to solve reliability block diagrams. THE SOFTWARE PACKAGES - 2 Reliasoft BlockSim 6.5.2 From BlockSim web site: “Flexible Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) creation.” “Exact reliability results/plots and optimum reliability allocation.” “Repairable system analysis via simulation (reliability, maintainability, availability) plus throughput, life cycle cost and related analyses.” Our Take: Monte Carlo simulation with algorithms used to speed the processing time. Also provides analytical calculation of reliability. THE SOFTWARE PACKAGES - 3 Relex Reliability Block Diagram From Relex web site: “At the core of Relex RBD is a highly intelligent computational engine.” “First, each diagram is analyzed to determine the best approach for problem solving using pure analytical solutions, simulation, or a combination of both.” “Once a methodology is determined, the powerful Relex RBD calculations are engaged to produce fast, accurate results.” Our Take: Relex RBD appears to be a hybrid tool that uses algorithms and simulation in varying combinations to solve reliability block diagrams. Why Compare Reliability Software Analysts (especially new analysts) tend to report reliability software results as exact values Engineering judgment, caution and experience are being supplanted by software analysis Error checking is often absent Number of runs; confidence limits; garbage in, garbage out all impact value of software analysis One Block Model Simple Mod
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