世界商务航空市场预测 2012-2031.pdf

YGR-5079 Worldwide Market Forecast For Commercial Air Transport 2012-2031 May 2012 Marketing Japan Aircraft Development Corporation Foreword The forecast of world air traffic and airplane demand for the next 20 years from year 2011 are described in this document prepared by the Marketing Group of Japan Aircraft Development Corporation. This forecast covers jet and turboprop commercial transport more than 15 seats excluding freighters operated by the world airlines domiciled in the 11 geographical regions, which are Africa, Asia (exclude Japan and China), China, the Commonwealth of Independent States(CIS), Eastern Europe, Japan, Latin America, the Middle East, North America, Oceania and Western Europe. Data sources of this forecast are International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), OAG, ASCEND, and Global Insight. i Contents 1. Summary 1 2. Traffic Forecast 8 2.1 Regions 8 2.2 Relationship among Passenger Traffic, Economy and Yield 8 2.3 Economic Forecast 9 2.4 Trend of Yield 11 2.5 Passenger Traffic (RPK) 11 3. Available Seat Kilometer (ASK) 14 3.1 Load Factor 14 3.2 ASK Forecast by Region 15 3.3 ASK Forecast by Region and Range 16