2012年淮安房地产市场年报 2012-24页.pdfVIP

2012 2012 年淮安房地产市场年报 市场研究部 2012 年12 月31 日 目 录 第一部分：政策篇 一：2012 主要经济指标··········································2 二：全年的政策变化·············································2 三：13 年的政策导向············································3 第二部分：成交篇 一：全国市场··················································4 1 ：成交量及价格情况··········································4 2 ：土地市场··················································5 二：淮安市场篇 1 ：总体成交量················································6 2 ：月度成交信息··············································7 3 ：成交价格··················································8 4 ：各个片区成交价格变化······································9 第三部分：土地篇 一：淮安土地成交情况··········································13 二：每季度的土地成交情况······································14 三：市区各区域土地成交········································14 四：成交面积和成交金额前10的地块····························15 第四部分：销售个案 一：绿地世纪城················································17 二：中南世纪城················································17 第五部分：市场预测篇 一：房价······················································19 二：政策······················································19 三：市场······················································20 第六部分：青草堂观点·································21 一：政策篇 :2012 :2012 一:主要经济指标 CPI回升步伐加快，通胀或进入新一轮上涨周期 2012年12月份，全国居民消费价格总水平同比上涨2.5%。其中，城市上涨2.5%，农村 上涨2.5%；食品价格上涨4.2%，非食品价格上涨1.7%；消费品价格上涨2.5%，服务项目价 格上涨2.5%。2012年，全国居民消费价格总水平比上年上涨2.6%。12月份，全国居民消费 价格总水平环比上涨0.8%，呈现加快回升态势，通胀或迎来新一轮上涨周期。不过，分析 人士认为，由于处在上行周期的初期，预计今年全年物价涨幅可能较为平缓，通胀压力总体 温和。受食品价格上涨推动，CPI同比涨幅在2012年底创下近七个月新高，呈现加快回升 势头。国家统计局城市司高级统计师余秋梅表示，2012年12月份CPI涨幅扩大，主要是因 为食品价格特别是蔬菜价格大幅上涨带动的。2012年四季度基本构筑了前一轮物价涨幅的 周期底部，今年将是物价上行新周期的开端，但由于处在上行周期的初期，预计全年物价涨 幅较为平缓，通胀压力总体温和，涨幅在3%至3.5%。不过，连平提醒，国内扣除食品和能 源的核心通胀水平已有所抬高，且下半年物价上行压力将加大，同时还存在全球宽松的流动 性与国内投资过热带来的资产价格上涨风险。 20