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利率平价理论评析(Analysis of interest rate parity theory).doc
利率平价理论评析(Analysis of interest rate parity theory)
Abstract: interest rate parity theory is the basic theory of the difference between interest rates at home and abroad, which plays a decisive role in the exchange rate of a countrys currency. Many scholars at home and abroad have studied the theory, but different conclusions have been drawn about whether interest rate parity theory has been established in different countries. Combing foreign different stages of development of the theory of interest rate parity, and domestic scholars on the research of the theory into the theory of interest rate parity applicability, interest rate and exchange rate linkage, model modification, it can be found that the introduction of asset price factors on interest rate parity theory development and on the basis of further deepening the reform of the financial system China, can provide theoretical value and application value of the policy guidance for monetary policy makers.
Key words: interest rate parity; international capital flows; spread arbitrage; asset price arbitrage
CLC number: F832.63, document identification code: A, article number: 1003-3890 (2010) 08-0079-05
Since Keynes put forward the theory of interest rate parity, the western economists have made a great deal of exploration and Research on the theory, making the theory continuously developed and improved, and has become one of the basic theories of international finance. That the interest rate parity theory, the change of exchange rate is determined by the interest rate difference between the two currencies, namely the spot exchange rates and forward exchange rate differences (premium or discount) is approximately equal to the difference between the country and the interest rate refers to the foreign interest rate. If the domestic interest rate is higher than the foreign interest rate, the forward currency will depreciate; if the domestic interest rate is lower than the foreign interest rate, the local currency will a
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