国电霍州发电厂2×600MW项目施工风险管理研究-工业工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘 要 随着我国经济的快速发展，国民生产对电能的需求量逐步增大。为缓解电能供 应紧张、发电效率偏低的情况，一些“上大压小”政策陆续出台，由此也带来了电 厂大型电力工程项目的逐步实施。与一般工程项目相比，电力工程项目具有投资量 大、资金密集、建设周期长等特点，其不确定因素较多且种类繁杂，因此电力工程 项目施工过程中存在诸多风险。如何对施工过程中的各种不确定因素进行有效管 控，将施工风险降到最低，不仅可以有效保障电力工程的质量、进度与安全，而且 直接影响着施工企业的效益和可持续发展。 本文基于风险管理理论，对电力工程项目风险管理的理论进行了分析阐述；在 此基础上，结合国电霍州 2×600MW 项目，以风险识别、风险评价、风险应对为主 线，对其施工风险管理问题进行了研究。在简要概述“上大压小”政策及国电霍州 项目总体概况的基础上，对电力工程项目施工风险识别的涵义、原则、过程及其方 法进行详细阐述，进而对霍州发电厂 2×600MW 项目施工风险进行识别，找出了 22 个较为重要的影响因素；然后选用网络层次分析法确定各指标权重，用模糊综合评 价法对施工风险进行综合评价，研究结果表明，国电霍州 2×600MW 项目施工风险 较小，管控效果较好；最后，分别针对环境风险、经济风险、技术风险、管理风险、 协调风险、安全风险 6 个方面提出适当的风险应对策略，为国电霍州 2×600MW 项 目的后续发展提供一定理论参考。 关键词：电厂；上大压小；施工风险管理 Abstract With Chinas rapid economic development, the demand of the national production of electricity is gradually increased. To ease the tight supply of electrical energy, low power generation efficiency, some large pressure on the small policies have been put forward, which also brought the gradual implementation of a series of large-scale power plant power project. To ease the tight supply of electrical energy, low power generation efficiency, a number of policies, such as large generating units instead of small generators have been put forward, which also brought a series of large-scale power plant the gradual implementation of power projects. Compared with the general projects, power projects with the large amount of investment, capital-intensive, long construction period, and a wide variety of uncertainties, so that there are significant risks in the power project construction process. How to effectively control the uncertainties in the construction process to minimize the risk of construction, have a direct impact on the power plant efficiency and sustainable development. In this paper, on the basis of risk management theory, risk management theory of electrical engineering project is described in detail. Take the Huozhou large generating units instead of small generators project for the study, risk identification, risk assessment, risk