Ag Market Outlook课件.ppt

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2019-04-23 发布于湖北
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Ag Market Outlook课件.ppt

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Arable land Beef Export Shifts Source: USDA-FAS Pork Export Shifts Source: USDA-FAS U.S. Meat Production Prices Source: USDA-WAOB Corn Grind for Ethanol Ethanol Stocks Source: EIA U.S. Corn Supply and Use 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Area Planted (mil. acres) 88.0 94.0 90.2 89.1 92.8 Yield (bu./acre) 168.4 174.6 176.6 176.4 176.0 Production (mil. bu.) 13,602 15,148 14,609 14,420 15,018 Beg. Stocks (mil. bu.) 1,731 1,737 2,293 2,140 2,035 Imports (mil. bu.) 67 57 36 40 40 Total Supply (mil. bu.) 15,401 16,942 16,939 16,600 17,093 Feed Residual (mil. bu.) 5,120 5,470 5,304 5,300 5,500 Ethanol (mil. bu.) 5,224 5,432 5,605 5,500 5,575 Food, Seed, Other (mil. bu.) 1,422 1,453 1,451 1,465 1,465 Exports (mil. bu.) 1,898 2,294 2,438 2,300 2,475 Total Use (mil. bu.) 13,664 14,649 14,799 14,565 15,015 Ending Stocks (mil. bu.) 1,737 2,293 2,140 2,035 2,078 Season-Average Price ($/bu.) 3.61 3.36 3.36 3.55 3.65 Source: USDA-WAOB, adjustments for March reports U.S. Soybean Supply and Use 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Area Planted (mil. acres) 82.7 83.4 90.2 89.2 84.6 Yield (bu./acre) 48.0 52.0 49.3 51.6 49.5 Production (mil. bu.) 3,926 4,296 4,412 4,544 4,156 Beg. Stocks (mil. bu.) 191 197 302 438 895 Imports (mil. bu.) 24 22 22 17 20 Total Supply (mil. bu.) 4,140 4,515 4,735 4,999 5,071 Crush (mil. bu.) 1,886 1,901 2,055 2,100 2,105 Seed Residual (mil. bu.) 122 146 113 129 130 Exports (mil. bu.) 1,936 2,166 2,129 1,875 2,025 Total Use (mil. bu.) 3,944 4,214 4,297 4,104 4,260 Ending Stocks (mil. bu.) 197 302 438 895 811 Season-Average Price ($/bu.) 8.95 9.47 9.33 8.60 8.80 Source: USDA-WAOB, adjustments for March reports Projected Corn Acreage Source: USDA-NASS Top: 2019 Acreage Estimate Bottom: Change from last year Units: 1,000 acres Projected Soybean Acreage Source: USDA-NASS Top: 2019 Acreage Estimate Bottom: Change from last year Units: 1,000 acres Change in Principal Crop Acreage Source: USDA-NASS Units: 1,000 acres Weather Outlook Source: NOAA-CPC World Corn Production Source: