thefutureofwork未来的工作paolofalcolabourmarketeconomist劳动力市场经济学家..pptVIP

What can we expect from the 4th industrial revolution? 我们对第四次工业革命的预期是什么？ Jobs with high and medium potential for automation 自动化潜力较高和中等的工作 Percentage of jobs with 70 % and between 50 % et 70 % of substitutable tasks 可替代工作占工作总量的比例为70%和50%-70%之间 Source: Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC); , Nedelkoska and Quintini (2018) 数据来源：成年人技能调查（PIACC） Jobs with high and medium potential for automation Percentage of jobs with 70 % and between 50 % et 70 % of substitutable tasks Source: Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC); , Nedelkoska and Quintini (2018)) Tasks that lower risk of automation: 自动化风险较低的工作 Presenting 表达 Influencing 影响 Reading books and/or professional 阅读文章和/或专业人士 publications 出版 Writing articles 编写文章 Using programming language 使用编程语言 Training others 对他人培训 Tasks that increase risk of automation: 自动化风险较高的工作 Exchanging information 信息交换 Selling 销售 Using fingers or hands 使用手指或手 Source: Arntz et al (2016), Table 3. What can we expect from the 4th industrial revolution? 我们对第四次工业革命的预期是什么？ The fallacy of Technological Determinism技术决定论的谬论 In which areas is the application of robots most/least acceptable? 机器人使用在哪个领域最能/最不能被接受？ Source: Eurobarometer. 空间 制造 有哪些信誉好的足球投注网站和 军队和保安 家用 农业 交通/物流 医疗卫生 休闲 教育 护理 探索 营救 This is not a new debate这不是一个新的辩论 Technology or Globalisation?技术或全球化 The labour m Technology Digitalisation 技术数字化 Globalisation 全球化 Industrial and Occupational Structure 产业和职业结构 DE-INDUSTRIALISATION 去工业化 The decline of the manufacturing sector制造行业下滑 Source: OECD (2017), OECD Employment Outlook 2017, forthcoming. Percentage change in total employment within industry for selected OECD countries 部分经合组织国家工业产业总就业的百分比变化 Real estate, renting and business activities 不动产、租赁和商业活动 Hotels and restaurants 饭店和餐馆 Finance and insurance 金融和保险 Average industry growth 平均工业增长率 Wholesale and retail trade, repairs 零售和批发，修理 Transport and storage, post and telecommunication 交通和仓储，邮政和电信 Food products, beverages and tobacco 食品、饮料和烟草 Electricity, gas and water supply