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Industry by Industry: More Chinese
Mercantilism, Less Global Innovation
ROBERT D. ATKINSON | MAY 2021
China’s long-standing and rampant “innovation mercantilist” policies harm global innovation by
taking market share and revenues from more-innovative foreign competitors, thereby diminishing
the resources they can invest in research and development toward further innovation.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
▪ In most industries, Chinese firms operate far from the frontier of innovation. To the extent
China’s mercantilist policies erode market share and reduce revenue for innovation
leaders, they also reduce investment in the next round of innovation.
▪ Most scholarly, econometric studies on the impact of China’s economic policies on
foreign research and development (RD) and innovation find a negative relationship.
▪ ITIF compiled case studies of five industries: solar panels, high-speed rail, telecom
equipment, semiconductors, biopharmaceutical products. In each case, our economic
models suggested significant negative impact on global RD and patenting.
▪ In the semiconductor industry alone, ITIF found that if Chinese firms had 80 percent less
market share, there would be 5,000 more U.S. patents annually.
▪ If China were to reduce its unfair mercantilist policies, the pace of global innovation
would increase. But in a classic win-lose dynamic, China shows no inclination to do so.
▪ Allied nations should pressure China to reduce its harmful policies and encourage the
WTO to focus more on the innovation effects of trade distortions.
▪ To apply pressure, allies should limit market access for innovation-based goods and
services that are supported by Chinese government and its mercantilist policies.
▪ Allies also should cooperate more on technology policy and establish stronger trade
agreements to allow for the free flow of innovation-based goods.
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