我国进出口贸易对GDP的影响.docxVIP

封面 我国进出口贸易对GDP的影响 摘 要 在经济全球化不断深入的今天，的不断推进，进出口贸易和国民经济得到了高速发展，并且发展事态良好。然而，随着全面高速发展，在经济全球化的大背景下，经济发展仍然存在一些小问题。本文通过搜集时间序列数据1980—必威体育精装版，并且基于进出口总额和GDP数据，运用经济学的相关计量方法对相关数据进行单位根检验协整分析和Granger检验，得出进口额出口额和进出口贸易结构能够促进经济增长，三者之间存在单向Granger因果关系的结论。本文在最后，根据研究分析，提出了相应的解决对策。 关键词：贸易现状?；国民经济；实证分析 ABSTRACT With the continuous advancement of economic globalization, the import and eport trade and the national economy have shown rapid development, and their development momentum is very alarming However, in the contet of this all-round high-speed development, economic development still has problems in small areas This paper collects time series data from 1980 to 必威体育精装版 Based on the total input and eport and GDP data, this paper uses the econometric method to perform unit root test, cointegration analysis and Granger test on relevant data Imports, eports, and import and eport trade structures can promote economic growth, and there is a one-way Granger causal relationship between the three and economic growth Finally, the corresponding countermeasures are proposed Key words:Trade status; national economy; empirical analysis 目录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \u HYPERLINK \l Toc14821 1?绪论 PAGEREF Toc14821 1 HYPERLINK \l Toc4827 11选题背景及研究意义 PAGEREF Toc4827 1 HYPERLINK \l Toc22946 12研究现状 PAGEREF Toc22946 1 HYPERLINK \l Toc26434 13研究思路和方法 PAGEREF Toc26434 1 HYPERLINK \l Toc21427 14核心概念 PAGEREF Toc21427 1 HYPERLINK \l Toc23774 2?当前进出口贸易现状 PAGEREF Toc23774 2 HYPERLINK \l Toc27285 21基本现状 PAGEREF Toc27285 2 HYPERLINK \l Toc18362 22进出口贸易与经济 PAGEREF Toc18362 3 HYPERLINK \l Toc22432 3进出口贸易与经济增长实证分析 PAGEREF Toc22432 4 HYPERLINK \l Toc17246 31 模型的建立与变量说明 PAGEREF Toc17246 4 HYPERLINK \l Toc14727 32 单位根检验 PAGEREF Toc14727 4 HYPERLINK \l Toc18387 4进出口贸易对策及建议 PAGEREF Toc18387 6 HYPERLINK \l Toc13254 41存在问题 PAGEREF Toc13254 6 HYPERLINK \l Toc12249 42对策及建议 PAGEREF Toc12249 6 HYPERLINK \l Toc11914 5结语 PAGEREF Toc11914 7 HYPERLINK \l Toc428 参考文献 PAGEREF Toc428 8 HYPERLINK \l Toc25305 致谢 PAGEREF Toc