东南亚农业食品部门的经济影 响.docx

THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE AGRI-FOOD SECTOR IN SOUTHEAST ASIA JunPhoto/S TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive summary 4 Introduction 10 The structure of this report 10 Estimating the agri-food sector’s economic impact 12 How we frame our analysis 12 The economic impact of the agri-food sector in Southeast Asia 13 The agri-food sector’s impact in Indonesia 19 The total economic impact of the agri-food sector 19 The economic impact of the agri-food sector in detail 20 Trade in agri-food products 22 Impact of COVID-19 on the Indonesian agri-food sector 23 The agri-food sector’s impact in the Philippines 27 The total economic impact of the Philippines agri-food sector 27 The Economic impact of the agri-food sector in detail 28 Trade in agri-food products 31 Impact of COVID-19 on the Philippines agri-food sector 32 The agri-food sector’s impact in Thailand 35 The total economic footprint of Thailand’s agri-food sector 35 The economic impact of the agri-food sector in detail 36 Trade in agri-food products 38 Impact of COVID-19 on the Thai agri-food sector 39 The Agri-food sector’s impact in Vietnam 43 The total economic footprint of the Vietnamese agri-food sector 43 The Economic impact of the agri-food sector in detail 44 Trade in agri-food products 46 Impact of COVID-19 on the Vietnamese agri-food sector 47 Outlook for the agri-food sector in Southeast Asia 50 Constraints on food supply could lead to rising costs 50 Economic slow-down will depress food demand 51 The Economic Recovery Matrix 52 Longer term challenges facing the sector 54 Fiscal policy risks for the agri-food sector 56 Assessing the fiscal policy risks to the Asian agri-food sector 56 New excise taxes pose a risk to the agri-food sector’s recovery 58 Conclusion 62 Appendix 1: Defining the sector 64 Appendix 2: Methodology 65 ECONOMIC IMPACT OF AGRI-FOOD SECTOR ON KEY SOUTHEAST ASIAN MARKETS IN 201