中国全要素生产率估算与分析.pptx

中国全要素生产率估算与分析Measurement and Analysis of TFP in China;内容提要;一、生产率概念的由来: (1) 投入产出率;以成本份额加权平均;以成本在产值中的比重加权： Divisia index;(2) 生产函数与技术进步;Divisia indexes and rate of technical change;应用实例：技术进步与总量生产函数 (Solow, 1957);增长核算公式;Technical change is a shift in the production function ;(3) 管理（技术）效率与全要素生产率;DEA模型与回归模型的比较;The CCR ratio model (input oriented, 1978);The linear transformation of the CCR ratio;The dual to the linear transformation;Envelopment surface for the input-oriented CCR model;The Output-Oriented CCR model;Suporting hyperplane for the output-oriented CCR model;Restrictions on parameters in DEA;CRS, NIRS, and VRS;General statistics about the DEA bibliography database (Tavaresa, 2002).;DEA publications number by type.;DEA publications number by year;Author statistics;二、全要素生产率的估算与拆分;技术效率、距离函数、 DEA、和Malmquist生产率指数之间的关系;Technical Efficiency (1957);Malmquist 生产率指数的定义;Malmquist 生产率指数的拆分;The Malmquist output-based index of total factor productivity and output distance functions;生产率拆分的几何意义;经验估算的实施（线性规划）模型 1;经验估算的实施（线性规划）模型 2;三、全要素生产率与企业改革（Zheng, Liu, Bigsten, 2003);Model Selection Process;Determinants of technical efficiency and best practice (Zheng, Liu, Bigsten, 2003);Determinants of productivity growth, efficiency change, and technical progress;Probability of productivity growth, efficiency change, and technical progress;四、全要素生产率与可持续经济增长;The Solow-Swan 经济增长模型 （with technical change）;人均资本装备率的动态方程;稳态人均收入取决于技术进步率(TFP);集约型与粗放式增长模式的区别;A few clarifications on the concept of TFP(G);五、中国省际全要素生产率的实证分析;总体经济效率：工业中存在的问题;总体经济效率：金融系统存在的问题;总体经济效率：省际生产的政治经济因素;The “Discovery” of Recent Productivity Slow Down(Source：Hu Zheng，State of the Nation Reprot, 2004) Unit：%;TFP Growth and its Components during Different Periods;Best Practice Provinces over Time (1979-2001);Shifts of frontiers and changes in the distribution of capital-labor ratios;Regional Efficiency distribution in China (1979);Regional Efficiency distribution in China(1990);Regional Efficiency distribution in China(2