欧洲汽车工业2020.pdf

Economic and Market Report EU Automotive Industry Full-year 2020 March 2021 CONTENTS EU economic outlook 2 Passenger cars 4 Registrations 4 World 4 The European Union 6 Production 8 World 8 The European Union 11 Trade 12 Imports 13 Exports 14 Commercial vehicles 15 Registrations 15 The European Union 15 Production 20 World 20 Trade 22 Imports 23 Exports 24 ACEA Economic and Market Report – Full-year 2020 1 EU ECONOMIC OUTLOOK The EU economy ended 2020 in the grip of the deepest recession since World War II, with GDP contracting by a record 6.3% last year. The relaxation of restrictions following the March-April lockdown – imposed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic – were largely reversed during the last quarter of 2020 in order to contain a second wave of infections. A return to pre-pandemic economic activity levels is expected to occur by end 2021 or early 2022, assuming that the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines continues to acce lerate across the region during the second quarter of 2021. The European Commission now forecasts GDP growth in the EU of 3.7% in 2021 and 3.9% in 2022. Inflation remained subdued in 2020 (0.7%), due to significant falls in energy and services prices. However, according to the European Commission’s latest forecast, a strengthening of economic activity in the second half of 2021 should see year-on-year inflation rates of 1.5% during this and next year. Job losses during the lockdown period in the first half of 2020 were unprecedented, although the decline was much less dramatic than the drop in economic activity. This is larg