NBER -Measuring and Predicting “New Work” in the United States The Role of Local Factors and Global Shocks-此为英文文档.docxVIP
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NBERWORKINGPAPERSERIES
MEASURINGANDPREDICTING“NEWWORK”INTHEUNITEDSTATES:THEROLEOFLOCALFACTORSANDGLOBALSHOCKS
GueyonKim
CassandraMerritt
GiovanniPeri
WorkingPaper32526
/papers/w32526
NATIONALBUREAUOFECONOMICRESEARCH
1050MassachusettsAvenue
Cambridge,MA02138May2024
ThisprojectwasfundedbytheRusselSageFoundation,GrantG-2211-41017MeasuringandUnderstanding“NewWork”and“DisplacedWork”intheUS:NewTechnologies,NewMarketsandNewPeople.Wearegratefulfortheirsupport.WethankJanetCurrieandEnricoMorettiforgenerouslysharingtheirdataonlocalcollegesin1980and1960withus.WethankLucChenforhisexcellentassistanceinsupportingthedatacleaningprocess.WethankparticipantsatseminarsattheUCLAAndersonSchoolofBusiness,TenthInternationalWorkshoponNSEatPekingUniversity,TsinghuaUniversityandUniversityofMilanofortheircomments.TheviewsexpressedhereinarethoseoftheauthorsanddonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheNationalBureauofEconomicResearch.
NBERworkingpapersarecirculatedfordiscussionandcommentpurposes.Theyhavenotbeenpeer-reviewedorbeensubjecttothereviewbytheNBERBoardofDirectorsthataccompaniesofficialNBERpublications.
?2024byGueyonKim,CassandraMerritt,andGiovanniPeri.Allrightsreserved.Shortsectionsoftext,nottoexceedtwoparagraphs,maybequotedwithoutexplicitpermissionprovidedthatfullcredit,including?notice,isgiventothesource.
MeasuringandPredicting“NewWork”intheUnitedStates:TheRoleofLocalFactorsandGlobalShocks
GueyonKim,CassandraMerritt,andGiovanniPeriNBERWorkingPaperNo.32526
May2024
JELNo.F1,J11,J14,J23,J24,J61,O33
ABSTRACT
Theevolutionofworkisofemergingimportancetoadvancedeconomiesgrowth.Inthisstudy,wedevelopanewsemantic-distance-basedalgorithmtoidentify“newwork,”namelythenewtypesofjobsin
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