欧洲电力部门需求灵活性的价值-53正式版-WN8.doc

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ValueofDemand

Flexibilityinthe

EuropeanPower

Sector

FinalReport

03-10-2023

Keyfindings

?ThisreportexploresdifferentscenariosfortheEuropeanpoweranddistrictheatingsystemeachrepresentingvaryingdegreesofdemand

flexibility.ThescenarioscomplywiththeEUsobjectiveofbecomingclimateneutralby2050.

?WhenwecomparetheReferencescenario,whichassumesfrozenpolicywithregardstoflexibilityandminimaladvancementindemandresponse

(DR)technologies,withtheFlexscenario,whereregulatorychanges,technologicaladvancements,andheightenedconsumerawarenessenable

demandresponse,weobservethefollowingadvantages:

—Asocio-economicbenefitof€15.5billionannuallybytheyear2050.

—Asubstantialreductioninconsumercosts,amountingtoapproximately€26billionannuallyby2050.

—Adecreaseinaverageconsumerpowerprices(wholesale)from€61/MWhto€55/MWh.

—Theabatementof40milliontonsofCO2in2030.

—Areducedneedforapproximately300GWofbatterycapacityand90GWlessgaspeakcapacity.Additionally,anintegrationof100GWmoresolarcapacityintotheenergymix.

—Investmentsininterconnectorsbetweenbiddingzonesdecreasedby21%(61GW)

?Themodellingconsidersonlybenefitsofdemandresponseinwhole-saleelectricitymarketsincludingtheneedforinvestmentsininterconnectors

betweenbiddingzones.Anypositive(ornegative)effectsofdemandresponseondistributiongridcostandinternaltransmissiongridcostarenot

consideredinthemodelling.Possiblerevenuesfromsellingancillaryservicesarenotconsideredeither.

?Thesefindingsunderscorethepotentialbenefitsassociatedwithembracingdemandresponseandfosteringaflexibleenergylandscape.

?Pleasenotethatthecostsrelatedtorealizingthepotentialforload-shiftamongcertainconsumers,includinghouseholds,services,industries,and

electricvehicle(EV)owners,havenotbeenfactoredintotheanalysis.

Introductio

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