Mackenzie Investments:2025年全球宏观市场展望 -2025 MARKET OUTLOOK.docx

Mackenzie Investments:2025年全球宏观市场展望 -2025 MARKET OUTLOOK.docx

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2025

MARKET

OUTLOOK

MACKENZE

Investments

BLUEBOOK

GLOBALMACROOVERVIEW

GLOBALMACRO

OVERVIEW

ASSETCLASSVIEWS–

AROUNDTHEWORLDTHEMESElectrificationResources

AROUNDTHEWORLD

THEMES

ElectrificationResources

QuantitativeinvestingPrivateMarkets

ASSETMIX

RECOMMENDATIONS

SUMMARYPOINTSEquities

SUMMARYPOINTS

SteveLockeCIO,FixedIncome

SteveLocke

CIO,FixedIncome

Multi-AssetStrategies

1Theinflationbattleisover...fornow.

2Expectmonetarypolicydivergence.

LesleyMarksCIO,Equities

LesleyMarks

CIO,Equities

2025MARKETOUTLOOK

MACKENZIE

Investments

2

GLOBALMACROOVERVIEW

GLOBALMACRO

OVERVIEW

ASSETCLASSVIEWS–

ASSETCLASSVIEWS–

AROUNDTHEWORLD

THEMES

ElectrificationResources

QuantitativeinvestingPrivateMarkets

ASSETMIX

RECOMMENDATIONS

Equities

Fixedincome

Reflectingonthepastyear,it’sclearthatinvestorsexperiencedsuccessacrosstheboard.Withequityandbondmarketsdeliveringstrongreturns,2024wasahighlyprofitableyear.

Thebattleagainstthefinalphaseofinflationappearstobelargelywon,opening

thedoortopotentialgloballycoordinatedcentralbankeasing.Withinflationrates

declininginmostmajordevelopedeconomies,thegroundworkhasbeenlaidfor

acontinuationofthisfavourableinvestmentlandscapeforequitieswhiletheoutlookforbondmarketsismorenuanced.

TheratecuttingcyclebeganwiththeBankofCanada,EuropeanCentralBankand

theBankofEnglandallcuttingpolicyratesinthesecondquarter,withtheFederal

Reserveeventuallyjoiningtheratecutparty.Fromtheir2024peakinApril,CanadianandUS10-yeargovernmentbondyieldsdroppedbymorethan100basispoints

bylatesummer,beforeexperiencingarebound.Canadianbondinvestorswere

rewardedwithamodestyetpositive3%returnontheFTSECanadaUniverseBondIndexthroughOctober.

Forequities,althoughtheyearbeganwiththeMagnificentSeven(

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