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一个新颖的策略用来在复杂的环境中高效谈判.pptx

一个新颖的策略用来在复杂的环境中高效谈判.pptx

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一个新颖的策略用来在复杂的环境中高效谈判Anovelstrategyforefficientnegotiationincomplexenvironments

OutlineIntroductionRelatedWorkNegotiationEnvironmentEMARExperimentalAnalysisConclusion

AutomatedBilateralMulti-IssueNegotiationTwo-agentsProfitableContractMultipleIssuesConflictiveImportanceIntroduction

第三次高潮IntroductionRealisticScenariosForBilateralMulti-IssueNegotiationsAreComplexNoinformationabouttheiropponentNopriorknowledgeaboutthenegotiationdomainDeadlineanddiscountComputationalefficiency

第三次高潮IntroductionEMAR(EmpiricalModeDecompositionandAutoRegressiveMovingAverage)1.EfficientOpponentModelingPredictingtheutilitiesoftheopponent’sfuturecounter-offers2.AdaptiveConcessionMakingDynamicallyadaptingtheconcessionrate

第三次高潮RelatedWorkMainIdea:Generatingandutilizingopponentmodelsinordertooptimizeanagent’snegotiationbehaviorLearningtheopponent’spreferenceprofileLearningtheopponent’snegotiationstrategy

第三次高潮RelatedWorkLearningtheopponent’spreferenceprofileBayesianlearningtoapproximatetheopponentpreferenceprofileR.Lin,S.Kraus,J.Wilkenfeld,andJ.Barry.Negotiatingwithboundedrationalagentsinenvironmentswithincompleteinformationusinganautomatedagent.Artif.Intell.,172:823–851,April2008.KerneldensityestimationisusedasanapproximationtechniqueR.M.CoehoornandN.R.Jennings.Learningonopponent’spreferencestomakeeffectivemulti-issuenegotiationtrade-offs.InProceedingsofthe6thInt.conf.onElectroniccommerce,ICEC’04,pages59–68,NewYork,NY,USA,2004.ACM.Drawback:computationallyintractablefordomainshavingalargeoutcomespace(especiallyifreal-timeconstraintsapply)

第三次高潮RelatedWorkLearningtheopponent’snegotiationstrategyChebychevpolynomialstoestimatethechancethatthenegotiationpartneracceptsanofferinrepeatedsingle-issuenegotiationsPredictfuturecounter-offersonlineonthebasisoftheprevi

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